October 8, 2026 admin

Major chemical producer backs UP-NS merger


But longtime rail executive criticizes consolidation

FreightWaves Rail · Weekly Bulletin View as web page →
 
FreightWaves Rail

A roundup of the week’s most-read rail — intermodal, Class I service, ports, and the bottlenecks in between.

● Clear FreightWaves Rail · Oct 8, 2026 Sub: Class I & Regulatory
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Bulletin Orders FWRX · No. 10·08

From the desk of Stuart Chirls · Railroads · FreightWaves & Trains.com

Intermodal specialist Hub Group’s depressed valuation has raised the possibility of a takeover … but J Capital Research sees significant obstacles to a deal, including founding Yeager family’s 62% voting control as a barrier to an outside acquisition … added uncertainty surrounding Hub’s accounts could complicate financing for a family-led take-private … Stifel recently upgraded shares to Hold from Sell on better risk/reward balance rather than a takeover outlook …

 
Featured · Class I · Regulatory
 

Shintech PVC production facility supporting the Union Pacific-Norfolk Southern merger

◆ Class I · Regulatory · Chemicals

Major chemical producer backs UP-NS merger

FreightWaves Rail · Oct 6, 2026

Shintech, the largest U.S. producer of polyvinyl chloride, told the STB it supports the Union Pacific-Norfolk Southern merger, saying single-line service to eastern destinations would increase speed, reduce costs and enhance competition for a company whose rail traffic from three Louisiana and Texas plants moves entirely on UP.

Signal A major shipper breaking ranks with chemical trade associations that oppose the deal gives UP a notable customer endorsement, even as short-line advocates warn of concentrated market power.
 

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Union Pacific CEO Jim Vena discussing the Norfolk Southern merger

◆ Class I · Regulatory

Union Pacific CEO ‘99.99%’ confident rail merger will win approval

FreightWaves Rail · Oct 7, 2026

Union Pacific CEO Jim Vena told Fox Business he is 99.99% confident the STB will approve the $85 billion Norfolk Southern acquisition, arguing that eliminating 24 to 48 hours of interchange delay would make rail more competitive with trucking, even as unions, agricultural groups and rival railroads oppose the deal.

Caution Vena’s public confidence contrasts with a broad opposition coalition, and with a final STB decision not expected until 2027 the outcome remains genuinely contested.
 

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Rail cars at an industrial yard during a strong week of U.S. rail traffic

◆ Volumes · Carloads

Another strong week for industrial rail freight

FreightWaves Rail · Sept 30, 2026

AAR reported 537,397 carloads and intermodal units for the week ending Sept. 26, up 4.85% year over year, with carloads of 235,787 up 3% and intermodal at 301,610 containers and trailers up 6.3%; seven of ten commodity groups gained, led by metallic ores and metals, petroleum and chemicals.

Signal Cumulative 2026 volume is running 2.7% ahead in carloads and 4.1% ahead in intermodal through 38 weeks, showing industrial demand holding up heading into Q4.
 

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Stolen rail cargo recovered by LAPD at a Whittier, California retailer

◆ Safety · Security

LAPD uncovers $1M in stolen BNSF and Union Pacific rail cargo at Los Angeles–area shoe retailer

FreightWaves Rail · Oct 7, 2026

LAPD detectives executing a Sept. 30 search warrant at a Whittier retailer recovered about $1 million in stolen merchandise from BNSF and Union Pacific shipments, including 59 pallets of footwear, drinkware, backpacks and vacuums, and arrested the owner on suspicion of receiving stolen property.

Caution A multi-agency recovery shows rail cargo theft is being traced to the resale end, but how the freight left railroad control remains unexplained and the investigation continues.
 

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Reading the Rails

Powered by SONAR · Intermodal Dashboard

The week’s total U.S. rail carload volumes, pulled straight from SONAR’s Intermodal Dashboard.

Total Carloads

230,711

▼ -2.15% w/w

12-Mo. Average

225,835

▲ +2.2% above avg

vs. 2025

188,673

▲ +22.3% above 2025

vs. 2024

183,990

▲ +25.4% above 2024

● SONAR · Total U.S. Carloads, 12-Month Trend — RTOTC.USA

SONAR chart of total U.S. rail carloads over the past 12 months

Weekly total carloads slipped to 230,711 this week, down 5,076 cars (-2.15%) from last week’s 235,787, but still about 2.2% above the 12-month average of 225,835.

● SONAR · Total U.S. Carloads, Year-over-Year Comparison — RTOTC.USA (2023–2026)

SONAR chart comparing total U.S. rail carloads across 2023, 2024, 2025 and 2026

Layered against the past three years, 2026’s carload volumes remain well ahead of the comparable year-end points in 2025 (188,673) and 2024 (183,990) — up roughly 22% and 25% respectively; the 2023 comparison line was again too overlapped with the others to read confidently.

Signal A modest pullback from last week’s stronger reading still leaves carloads comfortably above the annual average, suggesting a normal breather rather than a change in trend.
 

Powered by SONAR · Intermodal Dashboard

See the whole rail picture in SONAR

Every figure above is live in SONAR’s Intermodal Dashboard — carloads, container volumes and year-over-year moves, refreshed daily across every mode.

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