November 12, 2026 admin

US rail traffic hits intermodal record as October freight gains signal economic resilience, says AAR


Traffic overcomes inflation, weak consumer confidence

FreightWaves Rail · Weekly Bulletin View as web page →
 
FreightWaves Rail

A roundup of the week’s most-read rail — intermodal, Class I service, ports, and the bottlenecks in between.

● Clear FreightWaves Rail · Nov 12, 2026 Sub: Class I & Regulatory
 
Bulletin Orders FWRX · No. 11·12

From the desk of Stuart Chirls · Railroads · FreightWaves & Trains.com

Israel’s Rail Vision Ltd. said it completed successful testing of its TrackScout AI-integrated sensing system under AAR’s Technology Roadmap Program … TRP supports next-gen rail safety and automation technologies … the program is managed by AAR’s MvX Rail subsidiary, and addresses what RVL said is the North American freight rail industry’s efforts to advance Restricted Speed Enforcement capabilities, “an important building block in the transition toward increased rail automation” …

 
Featured · Intermodal · Volumes
 

Intermodal and automotive freight moving on U.S. railroads

◆ Intermodal · Volumes

US rail traffic hits intermodal record as October freight gains signal economic resilience, says AAR

FreightWaves Rail · Nov 11, 2026

AAR said October intermodal volume rose 9.6% to a record weekly average of more than 298,000 containers and trailers, while total carloads rose 3.4%, their strongest gain in eight months, with 15 of 20 carload categories higher and motor vehicles up nearly 10%.

Signal The past three months were the three strongest intermodal months on record and 2026 is on course for an annual record, though AAR cautioned that post-midterm policy changes could add uncertainty.
 

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Train on the main line under Surface Transportation Board oversight

◆ Regulatory · Preemption

STB signals broader protection for rail-served projects against state and local restrictions

FreightWaves Rail · Nov 6, 2026

The Surface Transportation Board issued a policy statement, final Nov. 9, signaling that state and local restrictions on rail customers’ facilities may face closer scrutiny under federal preemption law, while stressing it makes no binding determinations and that incidental rail components of manufacturing sites generally remain subject to local zoning.

Signal The statement follows a request from AAR, short-line, chemical and grain groups and could strengthen rail-served developers’ hand against local restrictions, but it leaves case-by-case questions open.
 

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Refinery operations amid rising freight costs

◆ Trade · Costs

Rising Q3 transportation costs squeeze manufacturers, reward railroads and reshape trade

FreightWaves Rail · Nov 10, 2026

Executives at Ford, Union Pacific, XPO and Valero described how higher fuel and freight costs hit companies unevenly: Ford expects about a $2 billion year-over-year cost headwind, UP called fuel increases an advantage for rail, and Valero said Gulf Coast-to-Asia crude freight now runs $30 to $35 a barrel versus about $5 a year earlier.

Signal Higher fuel prices and a tight trucking market are pushing freight toward intermodal rail, reshaping where companies buy and which markets they serve.
 

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BNSF train carrying agricultural products

◆ Class I · Earnings

BNSF Q3 earnings climb 19.3% as rail freight volumes rise

FreightWaves Rail · Nov 9, 2026

BNSF’s third-quarter net earnings rose 19.3% to $1.73 billion on operating revenue up 14.7% to $6.87 billion and volumes up 3.9%, offsetting higher fuel costs; coal shipments fell 8.4% and nine-month earnings are up 13%.

Signal BNSF’s results provided a larger contribution to parent Berkshire Hathaway in a quarter when Berkshire’s overall operating earnings declined.
 

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Reading the Rails

Powered by SONAR · Intermodal Dashboard

The week’s total U.S. rail carload volumes, pulled straight from SONAR’s Intermodal Dashboard.

Total Carloads

227,914

▼ -2.52% w/w

12-Mo. Average

226,474

▲ +0.6% above avg

vs. 2025

188,673

▲ +20.8% above 2025

vs. 2024

183,990

▲ +23.9% above 2024

● SONAR · Total U.S. Carloads, 12-Month Trend — RTOTC.USA

SONAR chart of total U.S. rail carloads over the past 12 months

Weekly total carloads fell to 227,914 this week, down 5,902 cars (-2.52%) from last week’s 233,816, leaving volumes only about 0.6% above the 12-month average of 226,474.

● SONAR · Total U.S. Carloads, Year-over-Year Comparison — RTOTC.USA (2023–2026)

SONAR chart comparing total U.S. rail carloads across 2023, 2024, 2025 and 2026

Layered against the past three years, 2026’s carload volumes remain well ahead of the comparable year-end points in 2025 (188,673) and 2024 (183,990) — up roughly 21% and 24% respectively; the 2023 comparison line was again too overlapped with the others to read confidently.

Caution A second straight weekly decline, and a sharper one, pulls carloads close to the 12-month average, so next week’s reading will show whether this is a pause or the start of a seasonal slowdown.
 

Powered by SONAR · Intermodal Dashboard

See the whole rail picture in SONAR

Every figure above is live in SONAR’s Intermodal Dashboard — carloads, container volumes and year-over-year moves, refreshed daily across every mode.

Explore the Intermodal Dashboard →

 
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