August 20, 2026 admin

XPO upgraded by S&P, just one notch below investment-grade


ACCC executes search warrant at logistics software giant WiseTech in competition probe

The Daily // Thu 08.20.26 View in browser →

The Daily

Thursday · August 20, 2026
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XPO upgraded by S&P, just one notch below investment-grade

BB+
XPO’s new S&P issuer credit rating, one notch below investment grade
35.7%
XPO’s Q2 funds-from-operations-to-debt ratio, versus S&P’s earlier 30% full-year forecast

LTL carrier XPO has had its debt rating upgraded by S&P Global Ratings, though outside of one specific obligation, it remains below the cutoff line between investment and non-investment grade debt. S&P raised its issuer credit rating on XPO to BB+ from BB, one notch shy of investment grade, a year after cutting the rating to BB in July 2025.

The upgrade puts S&P’s corporate rating for XPO higher than Moody’s, which affirmed its Ba2 rating with a positive outlook last September, a signal that often precedes an upgrade but doesn’t guarantee one. XPO’s senior secured debt already carries an investment-grade BBB- rating from S&P, which was affirmed in the latest action, while its senior unsecured debt got a two-notch bump to BB.

S&P’s rationale leaned heavily on strengthening trucking-market fundamentals and improved debt metrics: funds-from-operations-to-debt hit 35.7% in the second quarter, above S&P’s earlier 30% full-year forecast, and is expected to reach 40% next year. The agency also credited XPO’s move to insource more of its linehaul, with outsourced linehaul miles falling to 6.7% in 2025 from 20.9% in 2023 as adjusted EBITDA margins rose to 17.8% from 14.9%.

S&P also flagged truckload-to-LTL spillover as a tailwind, tied to tighter truck capacity from license revocations, English-proficiency testing and CDL school decertifications. The agency expects XPO’s North American tonnage to rise 2% to 3% this year with a 4% to 5% yield increase, and sees the current capacity dynamics as largely structural heading into 2027.

Why It Matters?

A ratings upgrade this close to investment grade lowers XPO’s borrowing costs and signals to the broader LTL sector that operational efficiency gains, not just market tailwinds, are showing up in the numbers that credit agencies and lenders watch most closely.

Read the full story

Top Stories

ACCC executes search warrant at logistics software giant WiseTech in competition probe

Australia’s competition regulator executed a search warrant at WiseTech Global, the CargoWise owner, seeking documents and electronic data concerning global logistics services and software. WiseTech disclosed the action through an ASX filing and pledged full cooperation; the ACCC confirmed the warrant to FreightWaves and described the investigation as ongoing.

WiseTech’s software reaches more than 20,000 logistics companies across 193 countries, including 24 of the 25 largest global freight forwarders. The company faced a separate ACCC review after its 2025 e2open acquisition, which gave it control of Expedient, and in January agreed to divest that business under a court-enforceable undertaking. WiseTech shares closed 8.7% lower in Sydney following Wednesday’s disclosure, their steepest single-day loss since late June.

Why It Matters?

Freight companies rely on software for customs entries, shipment data, carrier workflows and customer operations. A competition investigation involving a major provider can affect pricing, service quality and available options.

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Americold’s Port Saint John bet stitches DP World and CPKC into one cold chain

Americold has opened a roughly $80 million cold-storage hub at Port Saint John, New Brunswick, the first site to bring together all three of its strategic partners: DP World, which runs the box terminal; CPKC, whose rail line connects the port to Central Canada; and Americold itself, which operates the temperature-controlled infrastructure between them. CEO Rob Chambers called the model a bet on partnership rather than vertical integration.

The facility, Americold’s sixth in Canada, offers about 22,000 pallet positions and is the only temperature-controlled storage in Eastern Canada directly connected to a port without drayage. DP World’s $247 million terminal expansion lifted capacity to 1 million TEUs annually, and container throughput at the port hit a record 239,364 TEUs in 2025, up 29.4% year over year.

Why It Matters?

How logistics providers are leveraging supply chain links to create a dynamic, specialized network.

Read more

Home Depot offers nationwide express delivery from local stores

Home Depot rolled out express delivery nationwide, turning more than 2,300 stores into local fulfillment centers for professional contractors and DIY customers. Nearly every item is available for delivery in three hours or less for a small flat fee with no membership required, and executives said most deliveries are actually arriving in under an hour.

Free same-day delivery is available on orders of $25 or more placed before 4 p.m., and Home Depot said it has cut delivery lead times by about 45% over the past 18 months, with two-thirds of in-stock parcel orders now arriving same-day or next-day. The retailer reported second-quarter net income of $4.8 billion on revenue up 5.7% to $47.9 billion.

Why It Matters?

The trend of in-store fulfillment diminishes demand for network carriers like FedEx and UPS, which are cutting back on low-margin B2C parcel delivery to focus on more profitable customers.

Read more

Trump hits pause on 50% Canada tariffs, extends trade talks

President Donald Trump delayed planned 50% tariffs on nearly $20 billion of Canadian imports for three days after negotiators reached what both sides called a breakthrough, just hours before the duties were set to take effect. The tariff threat had targeted goods including wine, dairy, cement, clothing and hockey equipment, stacked on top of existing U.S. tariffs on Canadian steel, aluminum, autos and lumber.

Canada-U.S. Trade Minister Dominic LeBlanc and U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer continued talks in Washington to finalize an agreement, with automobile tariffs among the unresolved issues; negotiators have reportedly discussed cutting U.S. tariffs on Canadian autos from 25% to 15% but remain divided over which vehicles would qualify.

Why It Matters?

Canada is one of the United States’ largest trading partners, and a 50% tariff escalation could have increased costs and disrupted freight flows across North America’s integrated manufacturing, automotive and supply chain networks.

Read more

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In partnership with CargoWise Landside

What It Takes to Win in the Next Era of Drayage

FreightWaves and CargoWise Landside surveyed drayage operators on the automation investments separating growth from margin compression amid demand volatility and driver shortages.

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In partnership with Werner

High-Stakes Freight Brokerage: Risk and Accountability

FreightWaves and Werner surveyed shippers moving high-value freight and found compliance failures and limited visibility are turning low-cost brokerage into a reliability risk, not just a pricing one.

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What We’re Watching
XPO’s next move toward investment-grade

S&P’s upgrade to BB+ leaves XPO one notch below investment-grade. Watch whether continued insourcing of linehaul miles and improving FFO-to-debt trends earn it a further upgrade.

WiseTech’s competition probe widens

The ACCC’s search warrant follows WiseTech’s forced e2open/Expedient divestiture earlier this year. Watch whether the investigation surfaces new remedies affecting CargoWise customers.

Canada tariff talks head toward a deadline

Trump’s three-day pause on 50% Canada tariffs buys LeBlanc and Greer more time to negotiate, with auto tariff rates still unresolved. Watch whether a deal lands before the pause expires.

That’s your Daily for today. See you tomorrow.
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